An ambiguous change of gear : Zimbabwe
Budget 2012: .
By
Takura Zhangazha.
To measure the 2012 budget
against these objectives of the MTP and the intentions of the inclusive
government’s vision of DDS would be well and good
were it not akin to the biblical accusation of ‘healer, heal thyself’. This is because the national budget is not
there to massage the rather grandiose plans of a sitting government. Its primary
purpose and function is to make pragmatic the priority needs of the country, in
real time and for people centered reasons.
The current budget proposal is
the second annual one to be proposed and most likely implemented as is by the inclusive
government. Its fundamental proclamation of seeking to work toward a DDS is not
as obvious as it should be.
This will also assist citizens
to understand the extent to which the inclusive government is working on the
budget on the basis of collective responsibility, and not on the basis of political
competition over an expected election.
Regardless, the 2012 budget is
a different one from the previous one. This is in respect to its theme which is
very similar to that espoused by the Zimbabwe Congress of Trade Unions in one
of their recent publications, that of a transformative economy. To be specific,
the theme of the 2012 budget is ‘Enhancing a democratic sate anchored by a growing,
and transforming, socially just economy’. Unlike previous budgets under the
inclusive government, this one gives the distinct impression of being left
leaning, but is more firmly within the ambit of general recommendations that
are to be found in nascent World Bank related documents as well as mainstream sustainable
development knowledge systems.
It would have been preferable
that there be a much more evident, independent, well thought out and
transparent distribution agency for these monetary resources. As it is for example,
how the youth fund shall be distributed
is a vague matter. The nature of the ‘creative projects/ideas is also unclear
within the current framework. Unless it becomes clearer as to the standards and
measurement of what sort of business/social/economic ideas the 2012 budget will
fund, there is the risk of creating a seriously patron-client loan acquisition system
between those in the inclusive government and their supporters.
A further point of concern
with the 2012 budget is that of the ambiguity of public-private partnerships
within the context of the delivery of social welfare needs of the country. Where
it comes to health, education (tertiary included) the government is pledging
money in partnerships with either private companies/banks, development banks
and the donor community as to the implementation of these social welfarist
programmes. These are models that have been tried before and depending on the
profitability of the endeavor generally end with the private component of the
partnership pulling out, and doing so rather abruptly. The same can be said for the international
donors who are funding most components of our health services provision, who
when the global recession affects their funding, also scale down their
operations leaving our citizens at their most vulnerable (this is the current
risk with the Global Fund on HIV/AIDS). In order to mitigate these issues, the
state should have at least indicated the minimum standards that it must meet to
ensure key achievables in the provision of health services, education for all
and water provision, wherein the engagement of the private sector or the
international community would be an added benefit.
On the matter of industrial
production, land, manufacturing and trade, the 2012 budget, skirts dealing directly
with the issue of indigenization and its impact on the same. This is probably because
of the disagreement on the policy in the inclusive government, but it must be
noted that the same policy is now a political and economic reality. It is
therefore imperative that the 2012 budget takes this matter directly into
account, after all, some of the public-private partnerships under this policy are
the ones that, by default, are funding the very much competed for Community
Development Trusts.
A penultimate point is that of
the the budget making provision for democratic processes around national
healing, the constitutional referendum and constitutional commissions but not
factoring in the matter of elections. Essentially this points to three possibilities.
Ther first being that perhaps the elections budget is factored into the
allocation is factored into the allocation for the Zimbabwe Electoral Commission
or secondly that the government does not
want to fund its own country’s electoral processes and thirdly that there are
no elections in 2012. It is the third point that is most likely to be true,
mainly due to the political competition in the inclusive government and also
due to a general disdain by government at not wanting to upset the apple cart
that is the inclusive government.
There are many other areas of
the budget that are of importance that this short analysis cannot undertake due
to the limitation of space as well as the reader’s attention span. It is however
imperative that the inclusive government comes up with a clear plan of
implementation of the 2012 budget for all of its ministries and their related
parastatals. Failure to do so will lead to a budget that may be high sounding
on paper but completely vague and politicized in implementation. Simultaneously
civil society organizations must also take into account the fact that where the
budget makes provisions for social welfare and social service delivery, it is
the methodology of implementation that is now most important.